We live in interesting times.
I did say it a couple of years ago. The US is going to split up.
The last two decades have seen the US become more polarized, with each side becoming evermore entrenched in opposing beliefs in what the US should be. There is no middle ground, there are few centrists left in Congress to act as a moderating hand.
The last two elections have shown just how much many in the Republican party were willing to undermine the governance of the US for their own ideological ends. I doubt the Democrats would do differently, although I don't believe they would be quite as blindly uncompromising about it.
If this continues, does anyone honestly see the Red and Blue halves of the US still united in 50 years time?
One thing to bear in mind is that in 1861 the US was relatively isolated and insular, it could do what it wanted without impacting on the world in a huge way. The effects of the Civil War weren't really felt worldwide until later, the outbreak of the war itself didn't make an impact.
Would that happen in 2013? The world's most powerful democracy going to war with itself. The worlds most powerful economy collapsing into an internal war economy. It might not happen, but at the same time it might. The people of America did it once in a war about the future direction of the nation, why not again?
If that happens, god help us all.